Written by: Luca Grispiani

Wind Speed Distribution

Following the assessment of the site location for the wind park, next is the definition of the Wind Speed Distribution in the East 2 Marine area, in order to assess the wind energy yield available in a typical year.

A three-parameter Weibull Distribution is implemented. In literature, it is common practice to adopt a maximum likelihood analytical method starting from hourly wind data, aiming to define the Weibull Parameters. Nevertheless, in this feasibility study, the Weibull Parameters have been defined a priori.

The equation that represents the Weibull Distribution is presented below, where u (above underlined) is the Annual Mean Wind Speed, A is the scale parameter and k corresponds to the shape parameter.

Specifically referring to the Marine Area East 2, the Scale Parameter is fixed to 125% of the mean annual wind speed, while the Shape Parameter is obtained from a Physical Environmental Analysis conducted by Statoil Company in the marine area of Buchan Deep (Statoil, 2014), few miles away from East 2.

Accordingly, Weibull Parameters are defined as:

Table: Weibull Parameters

Wind Mean Speed
u
Scale Parameter
A
Shape Parameter
k
m/sm/s[ ]
10,713,3752,235

Therefore, the Annual Wind Speed Distribution and the Cumulative Density distribution are represented in the following charts:

Figure: Annual Wind speed Distribution and Cumulative Density Distribution

Once the Probability Density of the Wind Speed Distribution is defined for a range of wind speeds from 0 m/s to 50 m/s, it possible to assess the wind power available in a typical year related to a specific wind turbine characteristic.

 

References

Analysis of Wind Power Potential by the Three-Parameter Weibull Distribution to install a wind turbine, K. Sukkiramathi1 and C.V. Seshaiah, Energy Exploration & Exploitation,2020, Vol. 38(1) 158–174, DOI: 10.1177/0144598719871628

Hywind Buchan Deep Meteocean Design Basis RE2014-002

Wind Energy Engineering, Trevor M. Letcher,  2017, Elsevier,  ISBN: 978-0-12-809451-8