ELECTRIC VEHICLE PARADIGM SHIFT
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  • BACKGROUND
    • ELECTRIC VEHICLES
      • Electric Vehicle Technology
      • TCO Comparison
      • Battery Price Decline
    • POLICY
      • UK
      • EU
      • Worldwide
    • CURRENT UK ENERGY
  • EV PROJECTIONS
    • INTERACTIVE TOOL
    • VEHICLE STATISTICS
    • NUMBER OF CARS PROJECTIONS
    • SCENARIOS
  • IMPLICATIONS
    • TECHNICAL
      • Electricity Demand
      • Grid Infrastructure
      • Public Charging Infrastructure
    • ECONOMIC
      • Tax Revenue Lost
      • EV Electricity Charging Price
    • PRACTICAL
      • Social
    • SUSTAINABLE
      • Lithium Requirements
      • Rare Earth Elements
      • Tailpipe Emissions
        • CO2
        • NOx
      • Particulates
    • RESULTS
  • OVERALL ASSESSMENT
  • FUTURE WORK
  • REFERENCES
  • ABOUT US
  • HOME
  • PROJECT DEFINITION
  • BACKGROUND
    • ELECTRIC VEHICLES
      • Electric Vehicle Technology
      • TCO Comparison
      • Battery Price Decline
    • POLICY
      • UK
      • EU
      • Worldwide
    • CURRENT UK ENERGY
  • EV PROJECTIONS
    • INTERACTIVE TOOL
    • VEHICLE STATISTICS
    • NUMBER OF CARS PROJECTIONS
    • SCENARIOS
  • IMPLICATIONS
    • TECHNICAL
      • Electricity Demand
      • Grid Infrastructure
      • Public Charging Infrastructure
    • ECONOMIC
      • Tax Revenue Lost
      • EV Electricity Charging Price
    • PRACTICAL
      • Social
    • SUSTAINABLE
      • Lithium Requirements
      • Rare Earth Elements
      • Tailpipe Emissions
        • CO2
        • NOx
      • Particulates
    • RESULTS
  • OVERALL ASSESSMENT
  • FUTURE WORK
  • REFERENCES
  • ABOUT US

Results

This section provides the results of all implications modelled in this project.
For more information on each of the implications click the header within the table or use the website menu.

​The three tables represent the Nine Electric Vehicle Scenarios and its resulting impacts by the year 2050.

These Nine Electric Vehicle Scenarios have been obtained from combining three different electric car growths and three different number of cars projections .
Scenarios
Scenario 1. Business as Usual
Scenario 2
Scenario 3. Aggressive 
Average Daily Demand (GW)
0.343
1.260
10.503
Annual Grid Requirement (TWh)
3.007​
11.041
92.009
Public Charging Infrastructure
241,165
885,378
8,649,409
Tax Revenue Lost (£ million)
​881
3752
32631
Lithium (million tonnes)
5.189
27.187​
226.959
Carbon Dioxide (million tonnes)
48
29
2
Nitrous Oxides (thousand tonnes)
42
15
2

Scenarios 
Scenario 4
Scenario 5. Conservative
Scenario 6
Average Daily Demand  (GW)
0.287
1.055
8.793
Annual Grid Requirement (TWh)
2.518
9.244
77.029
Public Charging Infrastructure
201,903
741,236
7,241,261
Tax Revenue Lost (£ million)
737
3141
27318
Lithium Requirements ​(million tonnes)
4.601
23.578
196.698
Carbon Dioxide (million tonnes)
40
24
1
Nitrous Oxides (thousand tonnes)
35
12
1

Scenarios
Scenario 7
Scenario 8
Scenario 9
Average Daily Demand by 2050(GW)
0.194​
0.713
5.942
Annual Grid Requirement (TWh)
1.701
6.246
5.205
Public Charging Infrastructure
136,429
500,867
4,893,052
Tax Revenue Lost (£ million)
498
2123
18459
Lithium ​(million tonnes)
0.176
16.404
136.728
Carbon Dioxide (million tonnes)
27
16
1
Nitrous Oxides (thousand tonnes)
24
8
1
GO BACK TO: IMPLICATIONS
GO AHEAD TO: OVERALL ASSESSMENT
  • HOME
  • PROJECT DEFINITION
  • BACKGROUND
    • ELECTRIC VEHICLES
      • Electric Vehicle Technology
      • TCO Comparison
      • Battery Price Decline
    • POLICY
      • UK
      • EU
      • Worldwide
    • CURRENT UK ENERGY
  • EV PROJECTIONS
    • INTERACTIVE TOOL
    • VEHICLE STATISTICS
    • NUMBER OF CARS PROJECTIONS
    • SCENARIOS
  • IMPLICATIONS
    • TECHNICAL
      • Electricity Demand
      • Grid Infrastructure
      • Public Charging Infrastructure
    • ECONOMIC
      • Tax Revenue Lost
      • EV Electricity Charging Price
    • PRACTICAL
      • Social
    • SUSTAINABLE
      • Lithium Requirements
      • Rare Earth Elements
      • Tailpipe Emissions
        • CO2
        • NOx
      • Particulates
    • RESULTS
  • OVERALL ASSESSMENT
  • FUTURE WORK
  • REFERENCES
  • ABOUT US