The approach to modelling future scenarios was to create a portfolio of energy supply mix options. To decide on the installed capacities of each technology which could be possible by 2050, we used the ‘HM Government 2050 Pathways Analysis’ report (DECC, 2010) which defines 4 levels of capacity per technology.
This document defines the levels as follows (DECC 2010, p10):
This document defines the levels as follows (DECC 2010, p10):
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Within this document, each technology is given a range of capacity values which fit with these levels, for example as below:
A mix of levels per technology was used to form a variety of scenarios. These ranged from maximising all renewable energy systems and eliminating fossil fuels, to maximising only ocean based renewable energy systems, and also utilising only nuclear power along with storage.
We understand the importance of increased levels of storage in a system with high penetrations of renewable energy. Having read an interesting dissertation from a previous student of this course (Hoy, 2015), we decided to incorporate his suggestion of increased pumped hydro storage.
To see the full range of scenarios created, click the button below.
We understand the importance of increased levels of storage in a system with high penetrations of renewable energy. Having read an interesting dissertation from a previous student of this course (Hoy, 2015), we decided to incorporate his suggestion of increased pumped hydro storage.
To see the full range of scenarios created, click the button below.
References:
DECC 2010, HM Government, 2050 Pathways Analysis,
Hoy 2015, The Role of Additional Pumped Hydro Storage in a Low Carbon UK Grid,
DECC 2010, HM Government, 2050 Pathways Analysis,
Hoy 2015, The Role of Additional Pumped Hydro Storage in a Low Carbon UK Grid,