Executive Summary

Aim
Our project proposal is to test the impact of data fidelity on plant sizing, effecting payback projections. In addition a feasibility study was conducted for two live sites, giving the best final option for:
John Street Island in Strathclyde University
Eaglesham Village East Renfrewshire (District Heating)


The analysis on data fidelity involved 3 different scenario’s of data ranging from half hourly data profiles to monthly averaging. These scenario’s were then plant sized by four criteria:
Base load
Half load
Peak load
Heat load


The feasibility studies conducted on the two sites, resulted in baseload electricity sizing being the best option for the John Street Island and half load sizing the best option for Eaglesham village.
The financial returns were:

PaybackJohn Street Island Eaglesham Village
Unfavourable Case12(DCF)No Payback
Favourable Case4.9(DCF)19.3(Simple)

A summary of the conclusions obtained are:
Different quality demand data submitted to the same plant sizing criteria cause significant differences in the obtained plant sizes.
Lower quality data induces an underestimation of real payback times.
Data fidelity seems to be equally important for both energy usage types studied (i.e. the two case studies)
The payback for the John Street Island could be reasonably attractive depending on the variable parameters considered in the sensitivity analysis.
For Eaglesham Village the introduction of CHP seems to be economically unfeasible at the moment due to the very low density of energy demand.




Copyright © 1998 Balacó Guerra Parkin Simms Sousa

heat@strath.ac.uk
updated 15 April 1998